17.11.2022 (Thursday)

ST Statistical Learning of Multivariate Extremes

regular seminar Professor Richard Davis (Columbia University)

at:
14:00 - 15:00
KCL, Strand
room: Webinar
abstract:

A spectral clustering algorithm for analyzing the dependence structure of multivariate extremes is proposed. More specifically, we focus on the asymptotic dependence of multivariate extremes characterized by the angular or spectral measure in the multivariate regular variation setting. Our work studies the theoretical performance of spectral clustering based on a random k-nearest neighbor graph constructed from an extremal sample, i.e., the angular part of random vectors for which the radius exceeds a large threshold. In particular, we derive the asymptotic distribution of extremes arising from a linear factor model and prove that, under certain conditions, spectral clustering can consistently identify the clusters of extremes arising in this model. Leveraging this result we propose a simple consistent estimation strategy for learning the angular measure. Our theoretical findings are complemented with numerical experiments illustrating the finite sample performance of our methods.

(This is joint work with Marco Avella Medina and Gennady Samorodnitsky.)

Keywords: Applied Probability, Time Series, Stochastic Processes and Extreme Value Theory

MS teams link

https://teams.microsoft.com/l/meetup-join/19%3ameeting_ZjJkZjRkZmMtMjUxMS00OWI4LWFkNzQtYzNhMzE0OGFiOTg0%40thread.v2/0?context=%7b%22Tid%22%3a%228370cf14-16f3-4c16-b83c-724071654356%22%2c%22Oid%22%3a%221921fbe5-00da-4341-912d-2111ba06cbe0%22%7d